Recent news

1.5 degrees: Meeting the challenges of the Paris Agreement

The conference aims to understand the impacts of warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and assess the feasibility of meeting the challenges in the Paris Climate Agreement. It is hosted by the University of Oxford’s Environmental Change Institute, with CICERO as a partner organisation. 

The Paris Agreement moves ahead of the "best available science"

A Commentary in Nature Climate Change argues that an IPCC Special Report on 1.5°C should focus on resolving fundamental scientific and political uncertainties, not fixate on developing unachievable mitigation pathways.

Local fires reduce rainfall in dry season in southern Africa

Emissions of particles, in particular soot, from local fires in southern Africa have increased due to human activities. Along with increasing global CO2 levels, these particles have led to a reduction in precipitation during the dry season in the region. The findings, published in a new Nature Communications paper by CICERO and the University of Leeds, illustrate that reducing or cleaning local fires may help to counteract reduced rainfall.

Climate policy for the oil dependent

How to relate to climate change and climate policy if you earn your living from oil? 

Workshop linking practitioners and researchers

The goal of this workshop is to advance the link between the knowledge and evidence base of future climate and the practical application of adaptation planning and decision-making.

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Recent publications

Extensive release of methane from Arctic seabed west of Svalbard during summer 2014 does not influence the atmosphere

Cathrine Lund Myhre, Benedicte Ferré, Stephen Matthew Platt, Anna Silyakova, Ove Hermansen, Grant Allen, Ignacio Pisso, Norbert Schmidbauer, Andreas Stohl, Joseph Pitt, Pær Jansson, Jens Greinert, Carl Percival, Ann Mari Fjaeraa, Sebastian O’Shea, Martin Gallagher, Michael Le Breton, Keith Bower, Stéphane Bauguitte, Stig Dalsøren, Sunil Vadakkepuliyambatta, Rebecca E. Fisher, Euan G. Nisbet, Dave Lowry, Gunnar Myre, John Pyle, Michelle Cain, Jurgen Mienert

Effectiveness of integrated low-carbon technologies: Evidence from a pilot agricultural experiment in Shanghai

Chunzeng Fan, Taoyuan Wei

I Will Write a Letter and Change the World The Knowledge Base Kick-Starting Norway’s Rainforest Initiative

Erlend Andre Tveiten Hermansen

A standardised global climate model study showing unique properties for the climate response to black carbon aerosols

Maria Sand, Trond Iversen, Patrik Bohlinger, Alf Kirkevåg, Ivar A. Seierstad, Øyvind Seland, Asgeir Sorteberg

Five criteria for global sustainable development

Kristin Linnerud, Erling Holden

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Selected projects

REMIX - comparing renewable energy policies in Europe

The REMIX project studies how the renewable energy policies in six countries influence the EU policy and vice versa. 

Sustainable Market Actors for Responsible Trade (SMART)

The Sustainable Market Actors for Responsible Trade project (SMART) is an Horizon 2020 project that does research that promotes sustainable development within the planetary boundaries. CICERO contributes with research on hotspot analysis and dissemination and stakeholder engagement.

Developing tools for cost-benefit analysis of regional adaptation in Europe

ToPDAd or Tool-supported policy development for regional adaptation provides a comprehensive assessment of regional, national, and EU-level adaptation needs, strategies and policies.

Future Narratives

Future Narratives is a collaboration between Nordland Research Institute (NRI), CICERO, the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI), the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), and the Kola Science center (KSC).


Precipitation is arguably the most direct link between the climate and human society. We depend upon existing precipitation patterns for fresh water and food production, and global infrastructure is designed to withstand current precipitation extremes.

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