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The Carbon Debate

How much carbon can we still emit while keeping the rise in temperature below 1.5°C?

Recent news

Human health vital in updated EU adaptation strategy

With public consultations well under way, the EU is ready to revise its climate adaptation strategy this year. The new strategy needs to include human health as an important climate adaptation measure.

Scientists demystify climate scenarios for investors

Climate change is a real financial risk, but the risk depends on the complex evolution of climate policy, technology, and the climate system. CICERO’s new climate scenario guide explains how investors can use scenarios to evaluate different financial risks.

Making the carbon budget bigger

COMMENTARY: A new estimate of the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) means that the carbon budget to stay below 2°C could be much larger.

CICERO rates Asia's first national green bond framework

Indonesia is about to issue its first sovereign green bond. It is the first national green bond in Asia, showing that awareness of green finance is growing in the region. CICERO provided an independent review of Indonesia's framework.

Political justice in the climate negotiations: The personal reflections of a yellow badge

Few international negotiations attract such a broad collection of peoples of the Earth as the Conferences of the Parties (COP) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Analysing the COP23 negotiations in Bonn, CICERO researcher Solveig Aamodt argues that while states are the legally recognized claimants of justice in the negotiations, some steps have been taken to give those most vulnerable to climate change a due hearing. Is there any role at all for non-state actors in such negotiations?

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Recent publications

Radiative forcing from aircraft emissions of NOx: Model calculations with CH4 surface flux boundary condition

Giovanni Pitari, Irene Cionni, Glauco Di Genova, Amund Søvde Haslerud, Ling Lim

How will demographic characteristics of the labor force matter for the global economy and carbon dioxide emissions?

Taoyuan Wei, Qin Zhu, Solveig Glomsrød

Understanding, modeling and predicting weather and climate extremes: Challenges and opportunities

Jana Sillmann, Thordis Linda Thorarinsdottir, Noel Keenlyside, Nathalie Schaller, L. V. Alexander, Gabi Hegerl, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Robert Vautard, Xuebin Zhang, Francis W. Zwiers

Towards real-time verification of CO2 emissions

Glen Peters, Corinne Le Quéré, Robbie Andrew, Josep G. Canadell, Pierre Friedlingstein, Tatiana Ilyina, Robert B. Jackson, Fortunat Joos, Jan Ivar Korsbakken, Galen A. McKinley, Stephen Sitch, Pieter Tans

Response to marine cloud brightening in a multi-model ensemble

Camilla Weum Stjern, Helene Østlie Muri, Lars Ahlm, Olivier Boucher, Jason N.S. Cole, Duoying Ji, Andy Jones, J M Haywood, Ben Kravitz, Andrew Lenton, John C. Moore, Ulrike Niemeier, Steven J. Phipps, Hauke Schmidt, Shingo Watanabe, Jon Egill Kristjansson